The VP of admissions at SWC knows from past experience how many of the students that apply to the school will actually end up attending and generating revenue (the “conversion rate”). However, it is always a guess as to how many students will end up applying each year, so projecting revenue and expenses is difficult. The VP would like a systematic way to predict applications for next year based on the number of applications in years past. The VP would like you to present at least three different methods to predict applications for next year, along with at least two ways to determine which prediction method is best. Which method would you recommend? Why? The number of applications received in previous years is found in Tab 1 of the Excel file “Case 3 Data which is listed below methods can be any used in forecasting, qualitative or quantitative and choosing can be MSE, MAD, or MAPE
Year
Applications
2009
803
2010
877
2011
942
2012
863
2013
937
2014
1054
2015
922
2016
976
2017
1103
2018
1351
2019
907
2020
1322
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