You ask your recent MBA hire to evaluate the attractiveness of an investment in a piece of computer equipment you’ve been interested in. He gives you the following report. (Assume that he at least collected all the figures correctly.) The equipment cost $150,000 and will be straight-line depreciated over 5 years. It will replace an existing system — that would otherwise be used for the five years — which has been fully depreciated and could be sold for $3,000. It requires the use of software, which the firm has recently purchased for $20,000. The equipment will improve efficiency, which will allow you to cut costs by $60,000/year. The maintenance of the product requires the time of 1/10th of an employee with salary $30,000 and who generates $50,000 of profits to the firm. An additional $5,000 must be reserved for operations. You know that you can sell this product after 5 years for $50,000. Your firm is taxed at 30%. Last year, your firm had a price increase of 15%. You also know that firms who are only in this no-growth business are trading at a P-E multiple of 10. You receive the following analysis with a recommendation against the investment:
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
Cost Savings |
|
60 |
60 |
60 |
60 |
60 |
Maintenance |
|
-3 |
-3 |
-3 |
-3 |
-3 |
Buy Eqpt |
-150 |
|
|
|
|
50 |
Sell Old |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
Oppurtunity cost of 150K at 15% |
|
-22 |
-22 |
-22 |
-22 |
-22 |
Depreciation |
|
-20 |
-20 |
-20 |
-20 |
-20 |
Software |
-20 |
|
|
|
|
|
EBIT |
-167 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
15 |
65 |
Taxes |
|
4.5 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
19.5 |
Net CF |
-167 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
11 |
46 |
IRR<0<Required 15% return. Is this analysis correct? If not, where did your MBA go wrong? Redo the analysis to determine whether you should invest in the new equipment.